Resume

Using of Selected Prognostic Methods in Analysis of Intelligence Information
Ing. Martin Havlík, Ph.D., MBA, MSc., Ministry of Defence

The main goal of this article is to refer to possibilities of application selected prognostic methods in information analysis as one of the major stage intra-intelligence cycle. The first chapter, in reference to the progress of current global environment, consecrates existing current security threats and prediction of security environment. This part is followed by the issue of information analysis and its position in intra-intelligence cycle. The aim of the following chapter is to present some excursion in forecasting regarding follow-up major part dealing with analyzing specific prognostic methods applicable in analysis of information in various intelligence disciplines.
Keywords: Intelligence, analysis of information, intelligence discipline, operational environment, forecasts, prognostic methods, data collection, threats, risks.


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